Draft versions of my publications (alas, only the Research & Politics article is open access) can be found on my ResearchGate profile.
Leininger, Arndt, Lukas Rudolph and Steffen Zittlau (2016) "How to increase turnout in low salience elections. Quasi-experimental evidence on the effect of simultaneous second-order elections on political participation", Political Science Research and Methods (article, replication/data, (early) draft)
Leininger, Arndt (2015) "Wissenschaftliche Wahlprognosen - Alternative oder Ergänzung zu Umfragen?" in: Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 46(4), pp. 675-691 (article)
Leininger, Arndt (2015) "Direct Democracy in Europe: Potentials and Pitfalls", Global Policy, 6(S1), pp. 17-27 (article)
Work in Progress
"How representative are referendums?" (with Lea Heyne, R&R)
"A Länder-based Forecast of the 2017 German Bundestag Election" (with Mark Kayser)
"Popular Support for Direct Democracy in Europe: Critical but not Compensatory"
"The Elusive Effect of Referendums on Democratic Satisfaction"
I also occasionally blog about my research and data analyses I do in my 'free time.' See below for a selection of posts.
- "A far-right party just won seats in three German state parliaments. Here’s why.", The Monkey Cage, 22 March 2016
- "Olympia-Referendum - Die Polarisierung zwischen Arm und Reich ist stärker als zwischen Ja und Nein", Hertie School Blog, 1 December 2015
- "Voters seem to respond to the 'reported' rather than the 'real' economy", LSE Democratic Audit UK, 9 September 2015
- "Direct democracy is ill-fitted to engaging the politically disengaged, but popular with more active citizens", LSE Democratic Audit UK, 30 July 2015
- "Simultaneity of Local Elections and Turnout in the 2014 European Election in Germany", Making Electoral Democracy Work Blog, 4 June 2014
- "Economic growth trumps political campaigning: CDU/FDP coalition set to win another election", Hertie School Blog, 6 August 2013