… to my website. I am a research fellow at the Chairs for Public Policy and Empirical Political Science at the University of Mainz. I hold a PhD in Governance from the Hertie School of Governance, Berlin, and an MSc in Political Science and Political Economy from the London School of Economics and Political Science.

My areas of research are in comparative politics and applied quantitative methods. I am interested in direct democracy, turnout, election forecasting, economic voting and electoral studies more broadly. My work has been published in Political Science Research and Methods, Electoral Studies and Research and Politics amongst others.

I am also a founding member and current board member of CorrelAid, a student-led data science non-profit. From 2012 to 2013 I worked as parliamentary aide in the German Bundestag. I tweet about political science, citizen participation, data analysis and sometimes football using the handle @a_leininger.


2017-11-08 “Am Scheideweg - Sind die Grünen nur eine Partei des Westens?” opinion piece in Tagesspiegel Causa (w/ Julian Zuber).

2017-10-31 New publication: “Eine länderbasierte Prognose zur Bundestagswahl 2017” (w/ Mark A. Kayser) in Politische Vierteljahresschrift.

2017-09-08 “Zu jung zum Wählen?” opinion piece in Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (w/ Thorsten Faas, Sigrid Roßteutscher and Armin Schäfer)

2017-06-14: New publication “A Länder-based Forecast of the 2017 German Bundestag Election” (w/ Mark A. Kayser) in PS: Political Science and Politics. Research covered in FAZ, Politico and Bloomberg amongst others.

2017-06-08: New publication “How representative are referendums? Evidence from 20 years of Swiss referendums” (w/ Lea Heyne) in Electoral Studies.


Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz
Institute for Political Science
Jakob-Welder-Weg 12
55128 Mainz, Germany
leininger [at] politik [dot] uni - mainz [dot] de