Publications

Leininger, Arndt and Kayser, Mark A. (2017) “Eine länderbasierte Prognose zur Bundestagswahl 2017”, Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 58(3), pp. 407-417. article (gated) / pre-print / replication/data

Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2017) “A Länder-based Forecast of the 2017 German Bundestag Election”, PS: Political Science and Politics, 50(3), pp. 689-692. article (gated) / pre-print / replication/data

Leininger, Arndt and Lea Heyne (2017) “How representative are referendums? Evidence from 20 years of Swiss referendums”, Electoral Studies, 48, pp. 84-97. article (gated) / pre-print

Leininger, Arndt, Lukas Rudolph and Steffen Zittlau (2016) “How to increase turnout in low salience elections. Quasi-experimental evidence on the effect of simultaneous second-order elections on political participation”, Political Science Research and Methods. article (gated) / pre-print / replication/data

Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2016) “A Predictive Test of Voters’ Economic Benchmarking: The 2013 German Bundestag Election”, German Politics, 25(1), pp. 106-130. article (gated) / pre-print

Leininger, Arndt (2015) “Wissenschaftliche Wahlprognosen - Alternative oder Ergänzung zu Umfragen?” in: Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen, 46(4), pp. 675-691. article (gated) / pre-print

Kayser, Mark A. and Arndt Leininger (2015) “Vintage Errors: Do Real-Time Economic Data Improve Election Forecasts?”, Research and Politics, 2(3). article (ungated) / replication/data)

Leininger, Arndt (2015) “Direct Democracy in Europe: Potentials and Pitfalls”, Global Policy, 6(S1), pp. 17-27. article (gated) / pre-print