Working Papers

“Forecasting”, 22 pages – forthcoming in “Handbuch Methoden der Politikwissenschaft”, edited by Claudius Wagemann, Achim Goerres and Markus Siewert

“Die Erfolge der AfD und die Wahlbeteiligung: Gibt es einen Zusammenhang?” (with Stefan Haußner, University Duisburg-Essen), 28 pages – forthcoming in Zeitschrift für Parlamentsforschung

“The Elusive Effect of Referendums on Democratic Satisfaction”, 55 pages, ECRP Gradudate Conference 2016.

“Is there an economic vote in referendums? The case of the 2016 Italian constitutional referendum”, 28 pages, NIG 2017.

“The Consequences of Increasing Turnout in Low-Salience Elections: Evidence from Concurrent Elections in Germany” (with Lukas Rudolph, LMU Munich), 42 pages, EPOP 2017.

“Do Populist Parties Increase Turnout? Evidence from over 40 Years of Electoral History in 31 European Democracies’’ (with Maurits Meijers, Radboud University, Nijmegen), 51 pages, EPOP 2017.

“Popular Support for Direct Democracy in Europe: Critical but not Compensatory”, 55 pages, ECRP Gradudate Conference 2016.

“Coalition Building and Social Identity” (with Denise Laroze and David Hugh-Jones), 57 pages, NYU CESS 2016. slides

Work in Progress

“The effect of enfranchisement, temporary disenfranchisement and participation on youth turnout” (with Thorsten Faas, Free University of Berlin, Sigrid Roßteutscher, Goethe-University Frankfurt and Armin Schäfer, University of Osnabrück). Three-wave panel study of 3500 adolescents in Schleswig-Holstein covering the state and federal election 2017 as well as municipal elections in 2018.

“Critical or instrumental democrats? Germans’ conceptions of democracy a quarter century after reunification” (with Claudia Landwehr, University of Mainz)

“Resilience and political participation” (with Claudia Landwehr, University of Mainz). Survey experiment embedded in the Gutenberg Brain Study.

Media and Blogs

I also occasionally write for media outlets and blogs about my research and data analyses I do in my ‘free time.’ See below for a selection of posts.